Napoli vs Roma prediction and betting tips - April 28, 2024
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Napoli vs Roma prediction and betting tips - April 28, 2024

Tournament: Seria A
Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match date: 28.04.2024

On April 28, 2024, in Serie A as part of the 34th round, Napoli will host Roma. The hosts can only rise as high as seventh place, while the guests need to win to secure their fifth position, which this time guarantees entry to the Champions League.

Key statistics and trends:

  • Roma's last away victory in Naples was in 2018.
  • Napoli scores 28% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, but only 2% in the first fifteen minutes - the worst record in the entire league.
  • Roma has failed to score in 5 out of their 15 away matches in Serie A this season.

Napoli - Form analysis: The main disappointment of this Serie A season

The "Partenopei" reclaimed the championship title in style in 2023. However, despite this success, Spalletti left as soon as he secured the title. His former players, who changed coaches twice during the season, quickly exited both the cup and the Champions League and currently find themselves outside the European spots in the national championship. There has been no progress even under Calzone: 1 win and 6 points in the last 6 rounds, including a 0-1 loss to Empoli on April 20.

Roma - Form analysis: The team has come back down to earth

Under De Rossi, the "Wolves" unexpectedly experienced a renaissance. They reached the Europa League semifinals, defeating Milan twice in the quarterfinals, despite Milan being considered the clear favorite. In Serie A, they also made strides and were considered contenders for fourth place. However, in a head-to-head battle with Bologna, they conceded twice before halftime and ended up losing 1-3, falling back again. Nevertheless, UEFA granted Serie A an additional Champions League spot this time around. So, it's not just about claiming fourth place but also about not missing out on fifth place.

Napoli: Team news

Matias Oliveira will not play.

Roma: Team news

Due to Ndicka, the game against Udinese had to be stopped. While his heart seems fine, Evan will not return to the field anytime soon.

Napoli vs Roma: Possible starting line-ups:

Napoli (possible lineup): Meret - Nathan, Jesus, Estigarribia, Di Lorenzo - Zielinski, Lobotka, Zambo-Anguissa - Kuwarchikelia, Osimhen, Politano

Roma (possible lineup): Svilare - Anguillino, Mancini, Llorente, Chelec - Pellegrini, Paredes, Cristante - El Shaarawy, Abraham, Dybala

Previous matches:

Napoli had gone 7 head-to-head matches without a defeat, winning twice in the previous championship season. However, in December, the capital club finally took revenge with a 2-0 win at home.

Free prediction for the Napoli vs Roma match on April 28:

The hosts are favored, but they have barely won any matches in spring. While De Rossi's team didn't win on the fields of Fiorentina and Lecce, they will at least secure points. I'm betting on the "guests not to lose" option (odds - 1.909).